Travel
a. Over the past couple of years, various events are displayed in Hong Kong passenger carrying capacity is limited, the current number is probably already hit this limit (Note 9), we can not ignore the impact of tourism and regional public response to Hong Kong people's livelihood, so the weight is not over "Consumer Travel" model is not heavy expand forever. b. From the perspective of people's livelihood, the development of tourism can no longer rely on the increase in the number of visitors, but must self-improvement, and take innovative, diverse, high-quality, high-end line, revenue increased but the number of visitors remained stable, in this case, whether the construction of a three-run become irrelevant.
Logistics
a. Cargo growth over a period of plant products based on the mainland and foreign goods imported for export to the mainland, and the mainland airport facilities and operation system is not mature enough, but in the near future, with the mainland airports progress, sources located inland would constitute a fatal injury . b. 2010/11 and 2013/14, Chek Lap Kok Airport is 4.2 million tons of cargo [Note 10], the middle two slightly lower, showing the growth of cargo there is resistance in the future maybe a little ups and downs, but I believe, see Top of the day not far from now, three fastest run was completed in 2023, Hong Kong's air cargo industry is already a thing of the past, do not build worth mentioning.
Feasibility
a. Does not guarantee an increase in runway capacity of flights increased significantly, and therefore can not be equated competitive, because in fact subject to the Chek Lap Kok Airport tight airspace resources, built a three-run will be blocked because of the airspace can not add much to flight [Note 11 ]. b. February 5 Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport after the opening of the third runway experience is very valuable reference [12], by the tense airspace limitations, the results can only increase 10 daily flights by the media ridiculed as "furnishings" [Note 13]. c. Under the current plan, after the completion of a three-run only for landing, the airplane should be reserved for emergency use when you missed the fairway, in addition will increase after a break off the north west of the fairway, but the fairways are three overlapping waterway south of Shenzhen, inconsistent with the safety requirements of the International Civil Aviation Organization [Note 14], to solve the problem in Hong Kong has made the need for additional airspace south of the Shenzhen airport, but so far have failed to explain the AA and the Civil Aviation Authority to the public, in this case, a three-run is not OK, otherwise built will become a decoration.
Benefit
a. Known to build a three-run budget of HK $ 140 billion, but according to the above discussion, we will not get a real return on a runway, a three-run only for landing, flight can only be increased by about 15% [Note 12 ], northward route if frustrated, then it is more miserable, perhaps a group can not be increased, a three-run obviously no benefit at all. b. Compared with other airports, allowing us to see the problems start in Beijing in January this year, seven second airport runway will be built, designed passenger capacity of a million people, invest 80 billion yuan [Note 15], a rough calculation, such as a runway about HK $ 14 billion yuan, just a tenth of a three-run budget, although lower wages than the mainland, Hong Kong, but really high cost ten times hard to believe, it is a high price for a three-run inefficient projects, there is no reason to carry on .
After more than some review, summary, in the context of geography and age, to build a three-run is futile, but also with today's economic development needs of touch, it is outdated.
Three-run can not be built because of airspace restrictions, road traffic is not built, it's useless.
Nor do they need to build a three-run, three-run is out of date because the concept of economic thinking, help the economic development of Hong Kong's future must be transformation.
Do not build a three-run Hong Kong have any way out? You can follow Beijing and Guangzhou to go, "second airport" line. Hong Kong where there is local? Hong Kong 's long jump big, way more than enough, the AA has invested in Zhuhai Airport, Shenzhen Airport and the Macau International Airport are close neighbors, Hong Kong-Zhuhai big Jiao opening soon, why not borrow them as conceptual, "Hong Kong's second airport." ? This beneficial in promoting regional cooperation and mutual benefit, more than three runs in isolation made this project a much better price.
Do not build a three-run, our economy will not instantly fall, it will facilitate us from the shackles of ideology, "the sixties plastic flowers" in, out "to increase the amount of chasing" the box, with new ideas and thinking to build more with the situation in Hong Kong match the new economic model, so "the economy is good, Hello, everyone," become a reality.
Put down a three-run!